Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
19%
4.17
X/2
8%
8.43
X/X
21%
3.97
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
10%
7.39
2/X
6%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.34/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.76
+7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
24.4 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Panserraikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
30.03.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.03.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
10.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
05.12.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
02.12.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-2
AWAY Panserraikos
1.64 xG 0.80
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
497 Passes 207
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos edged past Asteras Tripolis 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 69% of the ball to Panserraikos's 31%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Asteras Tripolis.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panserraikos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.50 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 44%, draw 33%, Panserraikos 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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