FBK Karlstad 1-1 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.90/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.78
+23% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FBK Karlstad
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Umea FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.10.2024 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 1-3 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
04.05.2024 Umea FC Umea FC 2-1 HT 1-1 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FBK Karlstad
1-1
AWAY Umea FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad and Umea FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, FBK Karlstad had 47% of the ball to Umea FC's 53%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Umea FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FBK Karlstad and 2.50 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Umea FC?

FBK Karlstad 1-1 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 40%, draw 26%, Umea FC 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FBK Karlstad), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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