IF Karlstad 5-0 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.03/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.99
+26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-3 HT 2-2 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
08.06.2025 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 1-3 HT 0-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
11.08.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
27.04.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
19.08.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-2 HT 1-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
29.04.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-0 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
5-0
AWAY Vasalund IF
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad swept aside Vasalund IF 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day IF Karlstad made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 61% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 39%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IF Karlstad and 1.33 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF?

IF Karlstad 5-0 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 40%, draw 27%, Vasalund IF 33%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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