IF Karlstad 2-3 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.03/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.63
+28% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
398 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IF Karlstad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2025 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 1-3 HT 0-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
11.08.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
27.04.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
19.08.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-2 HT 1-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
29.04.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-0 HT 1-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
15.10.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-2 HT 2-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
2-3
AWAY Vasalund IF
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF edged past IF Karlstad 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was IF Karlstad at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 64% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 36%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IF Karlstad and 1.17 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF?

IF Karlstad 2-3 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 52%, draw 20%, Vasalund IF 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IF Karlstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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