Stenungsund 1-1 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.38/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.34
-18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Motala AIF FK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Stenungsund Stenungsund 2-2 HT 0-1 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
18.05.2024 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 3-3 HT 0-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stenungsund
1-1
AWAY Motala AIF FK
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund and Motala AIF FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Stenungsund had 39% of the ball to Motala AIF FK's 61%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stenungsund and 2.50 for Motala AIF FK.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs Motala AIF FK?

Stenungsund 1-1 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 37%, draw 23%, Motala AIF FK 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motala AIF FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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