Stenungsund 2-2 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.4pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.21/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.37
-29% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Motala AIF FK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 3-3 HT 0-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund and Motala AIF FK shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stenungsund at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs Motala AIF FK?

Stenungsund 2-2 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 41%, draw 28%, Motala AIF FK 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stenungsund), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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