Hamburger SV (K) 0-1 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 17 May 2026

Hamburger SV (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
Bayern München (K)
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayern München (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
9.57
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
79%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
26%
X/X
5%
2/1
2%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
8%
-0.7pp
14%
Draw
11%
+2.3pp
79%
Away Win
81%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamburger SV (K) v Bayern München (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburger SV (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
0.76/3.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.41
+55% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +128%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
185 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 86%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
11.3 Crosses 18.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayern München (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburger SV (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
0.05 xG 2.96
20% Ball Possession 80%
2 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 6
123 Passes 738
60% Pass Accuracy 90%
2 Box Touches 51
3 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.12.2025 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 6-0 HT 3-0 Hamburger SV (K) Hamburger SV (K) ALKB

Hamburger SV (K) 0-1 Bayern München (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburger SV (K)
0-1
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.31 xG 1.67
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
201 Passes 629
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
5 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) squeezed past Hamburger SV (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hamburger SV (K) had 29% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 71%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.31 to 1.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern München (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Hamburger SV (K) 0-1 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Hamburger SV (K) 7%, draw 14%, Bayern München (K) 79%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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