Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-3 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+1.7pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.93/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.54
+22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.8 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
319 Passes 225
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2025 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
16.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 6-0 HT 2-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
12.10.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
26.01.2024 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1-3
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
2.21 xG 2.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
18 Corners 2
318 Passes 218
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 14
41 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen (K) saw off Bayer Leverkusen (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayer Leverkusen (K) at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 57% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 43%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.21 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayer Leverkusen (K) and 1.00 for Werder Bremen (K).

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-3 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 68%, draw 18%, Werder Bremen (K) 14%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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