Wolfsburg (K) 3-1 Nürnberg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.16
Draw
12%
7.78
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
3%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
82%
-5.6pp
12%
Draw
10%
+1.9pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
2.55/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.02
+8% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +14%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
500 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
25.9 Crosses 9.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
7.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5.15 xG 0.51
78% Ball Possession 22%
28 Total Shots 6
17 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
492 Passes 84
86% Pass Accuracy 50%
46 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.12.2025 Nürnberg (K) Nürnberg (K) 1-6 HT 0-2 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
17.02.2024 Nürnberg (K) Nürnberg (K) 1-9 HT 1-4 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
3-1
AWAY Nürnberg (K)
2.14 xG 0.84
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
469 Passes 155
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
47 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Nürnberg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) beat Nürnberg (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 71% of the ball to Nürnberg (K)'s 29%, shots finished 25-15, expected goals 2.14 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 7.50 goals for Wolfsburg (K) and 1.00 for Nürnberg (K).

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 3-1 Nürnberg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 76%, draw 12%, Nürnberg (K) 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALKB More Germany - Women's Bundesliga
17 May 2026
15:00 Hamburger SV (K) vs Bayern München (K) Analysis →
15:00 Hoffenheim (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Analysis →
15:00 Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) vs Union Berlin (K) Analysis →