Asan Mugunghwa 1-3 Suwon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 17 May 2026

Asan Mugunghwa
1-3 HT 0-2
Suwon FC
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2026

Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
8%
9.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 29% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Asan Mugunghwa v Suwon FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.04/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.10
+13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.3 Crosses 21.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Suwon FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
255 Passes 479
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2020 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-2 HT 0-2 Suwon FC GKOR2
11.07.2020 Suwon FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
24.05.2020 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-5 HT 0-2 Suwon FC GKOR2
28.09.2019 Suwon FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
26.08.2019 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 1-1 Suwon FC GKOR2
29.09.2018 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 HT 1-0 Suwon FC GKOR2

Asan Mugunghwa 1-3 Suwon FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-3
AWAY Suwon FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
435 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon FC got the better of Asan Mugunghwa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Suwon FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 59% of the ball to Suwon FC's 41%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 2.00 for Suwon FC.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon FC?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-3 Suwon FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 40%, draw 27%, Suwon FC 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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