Gimhae City 1-4 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
20%
+8.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 61%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Daegu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.04.2025 Daegu Daegu 2-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GKOK
26.05.2021 Daegu Daegu 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimhae City
1-4
AWAY Daegu
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
330 Passes 437
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu cruised past Gimhae City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Daegu as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gimhae City had 44% of the ball to Daegu's 56%, shots finished 4-20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gimhae City and 2.00 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Daegu?

Gimhae City 1-4 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 28%, draw 21%, Daegu 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daegu), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daegu) ✓ Over 2.5
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