Hwaseong vs Busan I Park Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hwaseong v Busan I Park — Team-Based Signals
Hwaseong vs Busan I Park Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Hwaseong
GKOK
Hwaseong 3-2 Busan I Park — Actual Match Statistics
Hwaseong squeezed past Busan I Park 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hwaseong found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Hwaseong had 43% of the ball to Busan I Park's 57%, shots finished 16-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hwaseong and 2.00 for Busan I Park.
What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
Hwaseong 3-2 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Busan I Park?
Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 31%, draw 29%, Busan I Park 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Busan I Park), Under 2.5 went the other way.