Kwun Tong 2-4 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
12.23
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
81%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
13%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
27%
X/X
4%
2/1
2%
2/2
42%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
5%
+2.9pp
11%
Draw
8%
+3.8pp
81%
Away Win
88%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwun Tong EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 94%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -24%
0.79/4.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.06/0.64
-23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +68%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
252 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 553 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwun Tong
0W-0D-1L
AWAY South China
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
14.09.2025 South China South China 1-0 HT 0-0 Kwun Tong Kwun Tong HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kwun Tong
2-4
AWAY South China
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Kwun Tong vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China got the better of Kwun Tong 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Kwun Tong had 35% of the ball to South China's 65%, shots finished 9-27.

What was the final score of Kwun Tong vs South China?

Kwun Tong 2-4 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwun Tong vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated an South China win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Kwun Tong 7%, draw 11%, South China 81%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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