Shatin SA vs Hoi King Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shatin SA v Hoi King — Team-Based Signals
Shatin SA vs Hoi King Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 3-0
Hoi King
HK2
2-5
HT 0-1
Hoi King
HK2
Shatin SA 2-3 Hoi King — Actual Match Statistics
Hoi King squeezed past Shatin SA 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hoi King found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Shatin SA had 60% of the ball to Hoi King's 40%, shots finished 22-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoi King led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shatin SA and 2.67 for Hoi King.
What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Hoi King?
Shatin SA 2-3 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Hoi King?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 33%, draw 30%, Hoi King 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoi King), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.