AEK Atina 1-0 Omonia Nicosia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Omonia Nicosia EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Omonia Nicosia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.08.2022 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina HAZ
28.08.2008 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 2-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina AVL
14.08.2008 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-1 HT 0-1 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
1-0
AWAY Omonia Nicosia
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Omonia Nicosia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina nicked a narrow win over Omonia Nicosia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AEK Atina had 64% of the ball to Omonia Nicosia's 36%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AEK Atina and 1.00 for Omonia Nicosia.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Omonia Nicosia?

AEK Atina 1-0 Omonia Nicosia in the Friendlies on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Omonia Nicosia?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 48%, draw 25%, Omonia Nicosia 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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