Darmstadt 98 4-2 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.56 — our 30% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.17/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.02
-19% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
232 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.01.2025 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen HAZ
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 saw off St. Gallen 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Darmstadt 98 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs St. Gallen?

Darmstadt 98 4-2 St. Gallen in the Friendlies on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 36%, draw 30%, St. Gallen 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✗ Under 2.5
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