NK Varazdin 2-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
336 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin edged past Zorya Luhansk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had NK Varazdin as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Zorya Luhansk?

NK Varazdin 2-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Friendlies on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 45%, draw 26%, Zorya Luhansk 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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