17/07/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
NK Varazdin vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
26%
Draw
25%
29%
Away Win
30%
54%
Under 2.5
43%
46%
Over 2.5
57%
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
52%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NK Varazdin v Zorya Luhansk — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
NK Varazdin
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zorya Luhansk
EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-70%
/
+150%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
336 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
400 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.0
POST-MATCH
NK Varazdin vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
NK Varazdin edged past Zorya Luhansk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had NK Varazdin as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Zorya Luhansk?
NK Varazdin 2-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Friendlies on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Zorya Luhansk?
Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 45%, draw 26%, Zorya Luhansk 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (NK Varazdin)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
17 Jul 2025