One Knoxville 3-1 Alta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alta EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.37/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.82
-19% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
18.5 Crosses 7.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
3-1
AWAY Alta
1.41 xG 0.70
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
179 Passes 487
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Alta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville beat Alta 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, One Knoxville had 31% of the ball to Alta's 69%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.70.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Alta?

One Knoxville 3-1 Alta in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Alta?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 43%, draw 25%, Alta 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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