Forward Madison 1-1 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.21/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.70
-46% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
281 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.0 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
461 Passes 346
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
03.11.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
05.10.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-4 HT 1-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
15.08.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
24.09.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-0 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
30.04.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
1-1
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.56 xG 1.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
398 Passes 344
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
6 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison and Charlotte Independence shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Forward Madison had 52% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 48%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.56 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forward Madison and 0.83 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence?

Forward Madison 1-1 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 36%, draw 31%, Charlotte Independence 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forward Madison) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5
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