KaPa 2-2 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 17 Jul 2026

📅17/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.82
6+ Goals
8%
8.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 29% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.96/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.13
+34% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2026 KaPa KaPa 2-2 HT 2-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
22.02.2026 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FINYK
19.09.2025 KaPa KaPa 3-1 HT 2-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
18.06.2025 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 5-3 HT 2-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
27.04.2025 KaPa KaPa 0-3 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
13.08.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-0 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
2-2
AWAY SJK Akatemia
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KaPa vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and SJK Akatemia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KaPa and 2.17 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of KaPa vs SJK Akatemia?

KaPa 2-2 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split KaPa 35%, draw 31%, SJK Akatemia 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KaPa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KaPa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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