KaPa 3-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.46
Over 2.5
67%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.29
No
39%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.13
2-3 Goals
36%
2.31
4-5 Goals
32%
2.24
6+ Goals
14%
3.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.7pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
25%
+7.2pp
67%
Over 2.5
75%
-7.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
73%
-12.4pp
39%
BTTS No
27%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.95/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.04
+29% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2025 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 5-3 HT 2-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
27.04.2025 KaPa KaPa 0-3 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
13.08.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-0 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
20.07.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 4-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
23.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
04.02.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
3-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KaPa vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa beat SJK Akatemia 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 19% / 40%) promised a tight game; KaPa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KaPa had 46% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 54%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for KaPa and 2.67 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of KaPa vs SJK Akatemia?

KaPa 3-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KaPa 41%, draw 19%, SJK Akatemia 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KaPa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
19 Sep 2025
17:00 JIPPO vs EIF Analysis →
17:30 SalPa Salo vs FC Lahti Analysis →
18:30 JaPS vs TPS Turku Analysis →