SJK Akatemia 5-3 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.31
No
36%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.02
2-3 Goals
36%
2.46
4-5 Goals
27%
2.28
6+ Goals
18%
3.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.8pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.6pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.2pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.11/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/2.22
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
3W-3D-0L
AWAY KaPa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 KaPa KaPa 0-3 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
13.08.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-0 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
20.07.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 4-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
23.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
04.02.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
15.07.2023 KaPa KaPa 4-4 HT 1-3 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia got the better of KaPa 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SJK Akatemia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.00 for KaPa.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs KaPa?

SJK Akatemia 5-3 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 44%, draw 31%, KaPa 25%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Akatemia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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