SalPa Salo 1-4 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
69%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.1pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.3pp
68%
Away Win
67%
+1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 71%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.59/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.25
-41% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -29%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
220 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 517 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Lahti
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN2
03.05.2025 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-4
AWAY FC Lahti
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti cruised past SalPa Salo 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 42% of the ball to FC Lahti's 58%, shots finished 5-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Lahti led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.50 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs FC Lahti?

SalPa Salo 1-4 FC Lahti in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 15%, draw 16%, FC Lahti 68%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5
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