JaPS 1-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.04
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
58%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.18
2-3 Goals
46%
2.06
4-5 Goals
23%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
4.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
58%
Away Win
57%
+1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.7pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.00/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.95
-5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2025 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-2 HT 2-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
02.05.2025 JaPS JaPS 0-6 HT 0-5 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
27.09.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-3 HT 0-3 JaPS JaPS FİN2
20.07.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-0 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
22.05.2024 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.04.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
1-1
AWAY TPS Turku
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JaPS vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS and TPS Turku couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. TPS Turku carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, JaPS had 51% of the ball to TPS Turku's 49%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for JaPS and 3.17 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of JaPS vs TPS Turku?

JaPS 1-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split JaPS 18%, draw 23%, TPS Turku 58%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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