TPS Turku 2-3 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.46
2-3 Goals
36%
2.12
4-5 Goals
28%
2.51
6+ Goals
14%
5.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
2.05/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.92
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
4W-0D-2L
AWAY JaPS
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-0 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
22.05.2024 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.04.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
18.09.2022 JaPS JaPS 4-3 HT 2-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
01.07.2022 JaPS JaPS 0-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
23.04.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
2-3
AWAY JaPS
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS nicked a narrow win over TPS Turku 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was TPS Turku at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, TPS Turku had 59% of the ball to JaPS's 41%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for TPS Turku and 1.17 for JaPS.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs JaPS?

TPS Turku 2-3 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 54%, draw 22%, JaPS 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TPS Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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