SJK Akatemia 2-2 Mikkeli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.19
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
24%
2.55
6+ Goals
13%
5.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.83/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.74
+32% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mikkeli
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-2 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
28.05.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
14.10.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-4 HT 0-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINY1
16.09.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-2 HT 2-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINY
05.08.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
25.05.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs Mikkeli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia and Mikkeli couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Akatemia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.00 for Mikkeli.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs Mikkeli?

SJK Akatemia 2-2 Mikkeli in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs Mikkeli?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 50%, draw 25%, Mikkeli 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (SJK Akatemia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✓ Over 2.5
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