Mikkeli 1-2 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-7.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 66%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
14.10.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-4 HT 0-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINY1
16.09.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-2 HT 2-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINY
05.08.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-0 HT 1-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
25.05.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
24.09.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-2 HT 0-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
1-2
AWAY SJK Akatemia
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia edged past Mikkeli 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SJK Akatemia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mikkeli had 43% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 57%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mikkeli and 1.67 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs SJK Akatemia?

Mikkeli 1-2 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 23%, draw 23%, SJK Akatemia 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Akatemia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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