SalPa Salo 1-1 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 36%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.83/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.82
+19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY PK-35 ry
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
15.06.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-0 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-1
AWAY PK-35 ry
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo and PK-35 ry shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 57% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 43%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.00 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs PK-35 ry?

SalPa Salo 1-1 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 35%, draw 31%, PK-35 ry 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SalPa Salo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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