JaPS 2-2 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 Jul 2024

JaPS
2-2 HT 2-1
Jaro
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
56%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
19%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.8pp
56%
Away Win
68%
-11.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 72%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.85/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.50
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -50%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Jaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Jaro Jaro 0-0 HT 0-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
23.03.2024 Jaro Jaro 4-0 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINYK
27.09.2023 JaPS JaPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FINY
06.08.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
27.05.2023 JaPS JaPS 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
01.10.2022 JaPS JaPS 1-3 HT 1-2 Jaro Jaro FINY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
2-2
AWAY Jaro
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JaPS vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS and Jaro shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Jaro at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, JaPS had 59% of the ball to Jaro's 41%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JaPS and 1.33 for Jaro.

What was the final score of JaPS vs Jaro?

JaPS 2-2 Jaro in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split JaPS 16%, draw 28%, Jaro 56%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Jaro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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