KaPa 1-5 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.25
2-3 Goals
38%
2.22
4-5 Goals
30%
2.44
6+ Goals
9%
4.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+7.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 69%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.83/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.06
-12% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.05.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-1 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-5
AWAY KTP Kotka
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KaPa vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka cruised past KaPa 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, KaPa had 42% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 58%, shots finished 11-16.

What was the final score of KaPa vs KTP Kotka?

KaPa 1-5 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KaPa 24%, draw 21%, KTP Kotka 55%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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