KTP Kotka 7-2 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.26
2-3 Goals
36%
2.46
4-5 Goals
33%
2.34
6+ Goals
15%
3.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.2pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.5pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
2.57/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.38
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
481 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
2W-0D-0L
AWAY KaPa
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-5 HT 0-4 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
27.05.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-1 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
7-2
AWAY KaPa
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka swept aside KaPa 7-2. Half-time: 3-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 61% of the ball to KaPa's 39%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.00 for KaPa.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs KaPa?

KTP Kotka 7-2 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 62%, draw 22%, KaPa 16%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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