TPS Turku 4-2 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
9.24
2-3 Goals
37%
2.49
4-5 Goals
34%
2.27
6+ Goals
15%
3.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.0pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.7pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +15%
2.46/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.23
-1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
3W-0D-3L
AWAY JaPS
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 JaPS JaPS 0-6 HT 0-5 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
27.09.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-3 HT 0-3 JaPS JaPS FİN2
20.07.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-0 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
22.05.2024 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
29.04.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
18.09.2022 JaPS JaPS 4-3 HT 2-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
4-2
AWAY JaPS
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku got the better of JaPS 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had TPS Turku as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, TPS Turku had 51% of the ball to JaPS's 49%, shots finished 21-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for TPS Turku and 1.67 for JaPS.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs JaPS?

TPS Turku 4-2 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 57%, draw 24%, JaPS 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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