Elversberg 1-2 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2026

Elversberg
1-2 HT 0-1
Viktoria Köln
📅17/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Elversberg vs Viktoria Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.64
2-3 Goals
39%
2.13
4-5 Goals
29%
2.33
6+ Goals
14%
4.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.4pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.8pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elversberg v Viktoria Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 19%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.77/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.61
-12% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
433 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Elversberg vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.07.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln HAZ
10.04.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 3-2 HT 2-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
15.10.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL3
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln nicked a narrow win over Elversberg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Elversberg at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elversberg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elversberg and 1.00 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Viktoria Köln?

Elversberg 1-2 Viktoria Köln in the Friendlies on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 64%, draw 18%, Viktoria Köln 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elversberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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