AFC Telford United 5-4 Hitchin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.79/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.46
-13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Hitchin Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
23.03.2024 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 1-1 HT 1-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
18.11.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
5-4
AWAY Hitchin Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Hitchin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United squeezed past Hitchin Town 5-4. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 55% of the ball to Hitchin Town's 45%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AFC Telford United and 0.50 for Hitchin Town.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Hitchin Town?

AFC Telford United 5-4 Hitchin Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Hitchin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 53%, draw 30%, Hitchin Town 17%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
17 Aug 2024
17:00 Poole Town vs AFC Totton Analysis →
17:00 Havant & Waterlooville vs Plymouth Parkway Analysis →
17:00 Mickleover Sports vs Hebburn Town Analysis →
17:00 Basingstoke Town vs Dorchester Town Analysis →
17:00 Blyth Spartans vs Lancaster City Analysis →
17:00 Rylands vs Whitby Town Analysis →