Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.02
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
11%
6.43
X/2
16%
4.65
X/X
15%
3.96
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.17
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.20/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.19
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.4 Crosses 19.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0W-1D-5L
AWAY River Plate
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.60 xG 2.05
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
198 Passes 490
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
29.10.2023 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-2 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
14.04.2023 River Plate River Plate 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
22.07.2022 River Plate River Plate 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
14.03.2022 River Plate River Plate 4-0 HT 2-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
23.08.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 HT 1-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-1
AWAY River Plate
1.12 xG 0.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
220 Passes 361
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata and River Plate shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 43% of the ball to River Plate's 57%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.12 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 2.33 for River Plate.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 32%, draw 28%, River Plate 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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