Kapaz 0-3 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
28%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 66%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 2-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
28.10.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 4-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.08.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
15.04.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-0 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.02.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
20.12.2022 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 2-2 Kapaz Kapaz AZERK
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz cruised past Kapaz 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kapaz and 1.83 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz?

Kapaz 0-3 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 24%, draw 23%, Turan Tovuz 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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