Universitario de Vinto 1-2 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.31/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.41
-30% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
17.0 Crosses 16.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 0.72
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 194
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.03.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
04.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.10.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
17.08.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
28.04.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
07.09.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 4-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1-2
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.06 xG 2.34
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
352 Passes 175
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero edged past Universitario de Vinto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Universitario de Vinto at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 64% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 36%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.06 to 2.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente Petrolero's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 0.83 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?

Universitario de Vinto 1-2 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 52%, draw 24%, Independiente Petrolero 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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