Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Aug 2024

Atletico Mineiro
1-1 HT 1-1
Cuiaba
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Atletico Mineiro vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
6.0
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
17%
3.82
X/2
12%
8.7
X/X
20%
3.57
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
11%
8.03
2/X
5%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.4pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Mineiro v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +40%
1.41/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.17
+14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +73%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.4 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

Atletico Mineiro vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cuiaba
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.91 xG 0.70
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
521 Passes 288
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
24.09.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
11.05.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-4 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
11.11.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-0 HT 2-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
22.07.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
24.10.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 2-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1

Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1-1
AWAY Cuiaba
1.87 xG 1.27
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
381 Passes 224
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 17
34 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro and Cuiaba couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Mineiro at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 60% of the ball to Cuiaba's 40%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.87 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 0.33 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 41%, draw 31%, Cuiaba 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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