Cuiaba 0-3 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 28 Apr 2024

Cuiaba
0-3 HT 0-1
Atletico Mineiro
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cuiaba vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.35
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.35
X/1
15%
6.41
X/2
13%
4.42
X/X
17%
3.35
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.31
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.6pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cuiaba v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.15/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.10
-13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.9 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cuiaba vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 1.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
330 Passes 483
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
11.05.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-4 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
11.11.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 3-0 HT 2-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
22.07.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
24.10.2021 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 2-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
05.07.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1

Cuiaba 0-3 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
0-3
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
237 Passes 539
82% Pass Accuracy 92%
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro ran out comfortable winners over Cuiaba 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 34% / 36% — and on the day Atletico Mineiro made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, Cuiaba had 33% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 67%, shots finished 4-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cuiaba and 2.00 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Atletico Mineiro?

Cuiaba 0-3 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 30%, draw 34%, Atletico Mineiro 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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