Gremio vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Bahia
BRK
1-1
HT 0-0
Gremio
BRK
1-2
HT 1-1
Gremio
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Bahia
BR2
Gremio 0-2 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia beat Gremio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Bahia made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Gremio had 40% of the ball to Bahia's 60%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.23 to 1.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gremio and 0.83 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Bahia?
Gremio 0-2 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gremio 37%, draw 29%, Bahia 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gremio), BTTS Yes went the other way.