Trans Narva vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trans Narva v Tallinna Kalev — Team-Based Signals
Trans Narva vs Tallinna Kalev Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 2-0
Trans Narva
EST1
2-1
HT 1-0
Tallinna Kalev
EST1
0-1
HT 0-1
Trans Narva
EST1
2-1
HT 0-1
Tallinna Kalev
EST1
Trans Narva 2-2 Tallinna Kalev — Actual Match Statistics
Trans Narva and Tallinna Kalev shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Trans Narva at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Trans Narva had 44% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 56%, shots finished 14-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trans Narva and 1.67 for Tallinna Kalev.
What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Trans Narva 2-2 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 46%, draw 27%, Tallinna Kalev 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.