Monaco 1-0 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 Aug 2024

Monaco
1-0 HT 1-0
Saint-Etienne
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Monaco vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.5
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
28%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.3
X/1
19%
3.67
X/2
7%
15.9
X/X
8%
7.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.2
2/2
8%
11.4
2/X
7%
19.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monaco v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.92/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.88
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
485 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.2 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Monaco vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.12
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
422 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-4 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
22.09.2021 Monaco Monaco 3-1 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
19.03.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-4 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
23.12.2020 Monaco Monaco 2-2 HT 1-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
28.01.2020 Monaco Monaco 0-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FRK
03.11.2019 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1

Monaco 1-0 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
1-0
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.96 xG 0.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
407 Passes 207
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco edged past Saint-Etienne 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monaco had 62% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 38%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.96 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monaco's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Monaco and 1.00 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Saint-Etienne?

Monaco 1-0 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Monaco 58%, draw 23%, Saint-Etienne 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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