Reims 0-2 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 17 Aug 2024

Reims
0-2 HT 0-1
Lille
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Reims vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.24
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.89
X/2
10%
5.18
X/X
14%
4.13
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
17%
3.52
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v Lille — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.11/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.14
-17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
20.8 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Reims vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lille
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
278 Passes 432
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Reims Reims 0-1 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
26.09.2023 Lille Lille 1-2 HT 0-2 Reims Reims FR1
06.05.2023 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
02.01.2023 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
20.04.2022 Reims Reims 2-1 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
22.09.2021 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 2-0 Reims Reims FR1

Reims 0-2 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
0-2
AWAY Lille
0.07 xG 2.10
31% Ball Possession 69%
2 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
209 Passes 576
74% Pass Accuracy 91%
11 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille got the better of Reims 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lille found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Reims had 31% of the ball to Lille's 69%, shots finished 2-22, expected goals 0.07 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Reims and 1.00 for Lille.

What was the final score of Reims vs Lille?

Reims 0-2 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Reims 33%, draw 30%, Lille 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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