Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.08
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
13%
5.28
X/2
13%
5.23
X/X
12%
3.75
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.0
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.44
+52% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Incheon United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
405 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
30.03.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.07.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
04.06.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
04.03.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-3 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
21.11.2015 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2-1
AWAY Incheon United
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
322 Passes 533
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen nicked a narrow win over Incheon United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Daejeon Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 39% of the ball to Incheon United's 61%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 2.17 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Daejeon Citizen 2-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 36%, draw 28%, Incheon United 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5
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