Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.24
1/2
10%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.88
X/2
9%
5.22
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.58
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.62/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.47
-35% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.5 Crosses 10.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Incheon United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.07.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
04.06.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
04.03.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-3 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
21.11.2015 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
29.08.2015 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 2-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
0-1
AWAY Incheon United
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United squeezed past Daejeon Citizen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Daejeon Citizen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 54% of the ball to Incheon United's 46%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 2.33 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 41%, draw 26%, Incheon United 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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