Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.38
X/2
14%
8.24
X/X
14%
4.97
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
11%
5.97
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 28%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
0.87/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.37
-60% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.8 Crosses 13.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Jeju United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 1.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
374 Passes 383
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
10.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
05.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 4-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
08.05.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 3-1 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
14.04.2021 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
19.10.2019 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-0
AWAY Jeju United
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu squeezed past Jeju United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 51% of the ball to Jeju United's 49%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.00 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju United?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 41%, draw 29%, Jeju United 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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