Liverpool U21 3-1 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
26%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.74
Over 2.5
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.39
No
52%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
40%
+13.5pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
37%
-11.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
33%
+11.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
67%
-11.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.1pp
52%
BTTS No
32%
+20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester City U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.03 xG 1.07
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
260 Passes 502
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
3 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Liverpool U21 Liverpool U21 2-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City U21 Manchester City U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool U21
3-1
AWAY Manchester City U21
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
423 Passes 503
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
9 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Liverpool U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool U21 beat Manchester City U21 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool U21 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool U21 had 47% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 53%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Liverpool U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Liverpool U21 3-1 Manchester City U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Liverpool U21 54%, draw 20%, Manchester City U21 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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