York United vs Cavalry Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
York United v Cavalry — Team-Based Signals
York United vs Cavalry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Cavalry
CAPL
2-1
HT 1-0
York United
CAPL
2-1
HT 0-0
York United
KAPL
1-0
HT 1-0
Cavalry
KAPL
York United 1-2 Cavalry — Actual Match Statistics
Cavalry squeezed past York United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Cavalry made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, York United had 61% of the ball to Cavalry's 39%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.00 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for York United and 1.33 for Cavalry.
What was the final score of York United vs Cavalry?
York United 1-2 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for York United vs Cavalry?
Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split York United 40%, draw 24%, Cavalry 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.