Nacional 1-6 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

Nacional
1-6 HT 1-2
Sporting CP
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Nacional vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
66%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.38
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
15%
6.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
16.55
1/2
5%
21.85
1/X
5%
24.45
X/1
6%
22.3
X/2
21%
3.46
X/X
5%
8.88
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
40%
1.43
2/X
8%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.6pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.9pp
66%
Away Win
74%
-8.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 79%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.77/2.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.78
-33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -10%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 85%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
13.3 Crosses 22.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Nacional vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.41 xG 2.87
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
193 Passes 378
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional POR
08.01.2021 Nacional Nacional 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
19.04.2019 Nacional Nacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
16.12.2018 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-2 HT 1-2 Nacional Nacional POR
18.03.2017 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 2-0 Nacional Nacional POR
28.10.2016 Nacional Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR

Nacional 1-6 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional
1-6
AWAY Sporting CP
1.23 xG 3.14
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
220 Passes 475
81% Pass Accuracy 91%
11 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP ran out comfortable winners over Nacional 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Nacional had 35% of the ball to Sporting CP's 65%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.23 to 3.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nacional and 2.00 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Nacional vs Sporting CP?

Nacional 1-6 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Nacional 16%, draw 18%, Sporting CP 66%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5
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