Rio Ave vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rio Ave v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Rio Ave vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 2-2
Farense
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Farense
PORLC
2-1
HT 2-1
Farense
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Farense
POR
Rio Ave 1-0 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Rio Ave edged past Farense 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Rio Ave made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Rio Ave had 52% of the ball to Farense's 48%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.36 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rio Ave and 1.33 for Farense.
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Farense?
Rio Ave 1-0 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 40%, draw 26%, Farense 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.